Category Archives: Playing With The Numbers

Climate Science Magic

Climate Science Magic: Data “Adjusted” to Make Warming Pause Disappear from Record

Posted on June 6, 2015 by Philip Hodges

Climate science consists in the ability to shamelessly manipulate information in order to substantiate already-decided conclusions.

Now, if you ask scientists over at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) about the dreaded “hiatus” in global warming we’ve experienced over the past 20 years, they’ll say, “What hiatus?” Until very recently, this pause in warming existed and was public knowledge.

It was also a thorn in the flesh of many climate scientists who were baffled as to why this phenomenon was observed. If our global carbon emissions have not decreased – in fact, quite the contrary; they’ve increased – then there should be no pause in warming. There should be a marked increase in warming that correlates with rising carbon emissions.

That’s of course assuming that their presuppositions about what exactly causes the global temperature to rise are correct.

Scientists don’t have to be baffled or bothered by this inconvenient truth anymore. They simply and conveniently “edited” it out of the record. Sounds like racketeeringdoesn’t it? The Daily Caller reported:

New climate data by NOAA scientists doubles the warming trend since the late 1990s by adjusting pre-hiatus temperatures downward and inflating temperatures in more recent years.

“Newly corrected and updated global surface temperature data from NOAA’s [National Centers for Environmental Information] do not support the notion of a global warming ‘hiatus,’” wrote NOAA scientists in their study presenting newly adjusted climate data.

To increase the rate in warming, NOAA scientists put more weight on certain ocean buoy arrays, adjusted ship-based temperature readings upward, and slightly raised land-based temperatures as well. Scientists said adjusted ship-based temperature data “had the largest impact on trends for the 2000-2014 time period, accounting for 0.030°C of the 0.064°C trend difference.” They added that the “buoy offset correction contributed 0.014°C… to the difference, and the additional weight given to the buoys because of their greater accuracy contributed 0.012°C.”


NOAA’s study, however, notes the overall warming trend since 1880 has not been significantly changed. What’s increased is the warming trend in recent decades.

So now, temperatures in the more distant past are cooler than were previously reported, and temperatures in the more recent past are warmer than were previously reported. That’ll help yield that hockey stick graph they were looking for. And it will also erase any “pause” in global warming.

Science is supposed to be about questioning things. But something these scientists will never do is question their own presuppositions. It seems to be the most obvious thing to do. But instead, they assume their presuppositions are correct and adjust the data to fit their pre-determined conclusion.